
Miller Magazine reports that Russia's invasion of Ukraine has disrupted EU grain markets, raising prices and boosting intra-EU trade. The EU is seeking alternative corn supplies to replace Ukraine's, and planting challenges and port damage add uncertainty for 2022/23.
Loss of Ukrainian corn and wheat exports shifts demand toward EU and other origins, supporting corn prices and widening trade flows.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.