
The UN's FAO says nearly 25 million tonnes of grain remain stuck in Ukraine because of blockades. The FAO links the blockages to high food prices, which hit a record in March after Russia's invasion before easing slightly in April.
Trapped Ukrainian wheat and corn tighten global export supplies, supporting grain prices and pushing importers toward other origins.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.