Grain exporters tap EU supplies as war shuts Ukraine ports -traders

After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Feb 24, 2022Ukraine shuts ports as conflict threatens grain supplies | Reuters+6.8%
• Dec 17, 2025Ukraine's grain exports curbed as Russian strikes shut terminals+0.8%
• Oct 1, 2026War Throttles Black Sea Grain Exports, Threatening Food Supplies-2.9%
• Nov 22, 2023Wheat prices jump as Russia targets Ukrainian grain supplies-0.4%
• Aug 3, 2023Ukraine struggles to export its grain — as Russia repeatedly strikes its ports : NPR+0.5%

After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Feb 24, 2022Ukraine shuts ports as conflict threatens grain supplies | Reuters+6.5%
• Dec 17, 2025Ukraine's grain exports curbed as Russian strikes shut terminals+1.1%
• Oct 1, 2026War Throttles Black Sea Grain Exports, Threatening Food Supplies-1.2%
• Mar 1, 2022EU corn in demand as Ukraine war brings growing supply gap+4.7%
• Aug 3, 2023Ukraine struggles to export its grain — as Russia repeatedly strikes its ports : NPR-0.6%