Ukraine struggles to export its grain

After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, WHEAT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Dec 17, 2025Ukraine's grain exports curbed as Russian strikes shut terminals+0.8%
• Jan 8, 2026Ukraine Grain Exports Drop 16% in December as Russian Strikes Hit Ports - Bloomberg-0.2%
• Feb 19, 2026Ukraine's grain, iron ore exports hit by Russian strikes on ports this winter | Reuters+1.8%
• Aug 25, 2026Grain exports stall as Ukraine steps up attacks on Russia+1.7%
• Jul 9, 2020Ukraine Railway Seeks New Grain Routes as Russia Strikes Ports | Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation+0.7%

After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Dec 17, 2025Ukraine's grain exports curbed as Russian strikes shut terminals+1.1%
• Jan 8, 2026Ukraine Grain Exports Drop 16% in December as Russian Strikes Hit Ports - Bloomberg-3.4%
• Feb 19, 2026Ukraine's grain, iron ore exports hit by Russian strikes on ports this winter | Reuters+0.6%
• Jul 9, 2020Ukraine Railway Seeks New Grain Routes as Russia Strikes Ports | Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation-5.2%
• Jul 16, 2026Russia’s port strikes leave Ukraine’s grain with almost nowhere else to go - Euromaidan Press+3.1%