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Brazil's real fell 2% to its lowest in over two weeks after the government proposed a constitutional amendment to offset state tax revenue losses from a temporary ICMS cut on diesel and gas. Chile's peso slipped 0.5% as copper prices fell on lower Chinese demand concerns.
Fiscal stress and a weaker real can shift Brazilian export pricing for soybeans, corn and meal, while diesel tax cuts aim to ease inflation in fuel-linked freight and feed costs.
financialpost.comReutersJun 7, 2022After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
