
USDA Prospective Plantings showed 2022 US soybean intentions at 90.95 million acres, above the 88.9 million expected and up from 87.2 million last year. March 1 soybean stocks were also above expectations at 1.931 billion bushels, pushing soybeans and soyoil sharply lower.
Larger acreage and higher stocks point to ample US supplies and a looser balance sheet, which is bearish for soybeans, meal and oil.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.