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The yuan slipped from a two-month high against the dollar on Wednesday as safe-haven demand lifted the greenback after a blast in Poland, reportedly from a Russia-made projectile. The PBOC set its midpoint at a three-week high of 7.0363 per dollar.
Geopolitical risk-driven dollar strength makes dollar-priced feed imports costlier for China, a modest bearish signal for demand-sensitive grain and oilseed prices.
brecorder.comReutersNov 16, 2022After 14 past bullish geopolitics events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
