
The Conversation article, republished by PotatoPro, warns that phosphorus supply is increasingly disrupted. About 85% of the world's remaining high-grade phosphate rock sits in five countries, with 70% in Morocco alone.
It notes that phosphate fertiliser prices rose about 800% in 2008.
Heavy concentration of phosphate reserves in a few countries creates a risk of sudden price spikes for DAP and rock, which raises the cost of crop nutrition and ultimately feed grains.
After 114 past bullish geopolitics events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.