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The July WASDE surprised grain markets with higher US wheat, corn and soybean yield and supply forecasts. September Chicago wheat fell 4.2% to $6.33 and December corn dropped 3.9%, while August soybeans lost 2%.
Global wheat stocks were revised down about 900,000 tonnes from June.
Upward US supply revisions and a sharp drop in futures prices signal a bearish near-term outlook for grains, partly offset by slightly lower global wheat stocks.
en.boerenbusiness.nlJurphaas LugtenburgJul 13, 2023After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
