The European Commission pegged EU-27 total cereal production for 2023-24 at 276.02 Mt, down month on month after dry conditions depleted soil moisture across western, central and northern Europe. Soft wheat output was estimated at 127.43 Mt and the barley yield at 4.74 t/ha.
A smaller EU cereal crop tightens feed grain and wheat supplies, supporting prices for corn, wheat and barley substitutes in feed rations.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.