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Bloomberg reports that expanding US soybean crushing for renewable diesel and jet fuel will produce more soymeal, which could cut feed costs. Lower feed costs would let meatpackers raise more animals and could lower retail meat prices.
The article frames this as a likely downward pressure on chicken and pork prices.
Biofuel-driven crush adds soymeal supply and lowers feed costs, which is bearish for soymeal and meat prices. Soybean oil demand from renewable fuel is supportive for oil prices.
bloomberg.comGerson Freitas Jr., Tarso Veloso, Isis AlmeidaJan 28, 2024After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 34 past bearish policy events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.3%), and -1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
