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The February WASDE showed slightly bearish U.S. demand changes, with a 10 million bushel cut in food, seed and industrial corn use lifting ending stocks. The March corn futures contract hit a new contract low after the report, while USDA kept Brazil's production estimate far above other analysts' figures.
Lower domestic corn use and a new contract low reinforce weak corn prices, and USDA's high Brazil estimate suggests South American supply will keep pressure on the market.
dtnpf.comDana MantiniFeb 8, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
