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StoneX's weekly FX outlook for Brazil says the real closed the week of May 24 at 5.168 per dollar, a 1.3% weekly gain for the dollar. The Federal Reserve minutes and stronger-than-expected US activity data supported the dollar, and the outlook flags fiscal and inflation risks in Brazil.
Expectations of higher-for-longer US rates and Brazilian fiscal risk point to a firmer dollar against the real, which can make Brazilian grain and meal exports more competitive.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilMay 27, 2024After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
