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The Brazilian real ended the first week of 2022 1.0% weaker at 5.632 per dollar after the Federal Reserve's minutes signaled faster rate hikes and balance sheet reduction. The dollar index rose 0.2% to 95.7 for the week.
Analysts flagged fiscal uncertainty over the 2022 budget as a risk to the real.
A weaker real raises the local cost of imported feed inputs and can support Brazilian dollar-priced export values for soy and corn. Continued Fed tightening pressure favors a stronger dollar against emerging-market currencies.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilJan 7, 2022After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
