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StoneX reports the real closed the week of November 12, 2021 at 5.457 per dollar, down 1.2% on the week and up 5.1% year-to-date. The dollar index rose 0.8% on the week as US and Brazilian inflation data came in above forecasts.
Stronger dollar and rising inflation expectations raise expectations of tighter monetary policy, which affects the cost of Brazilian export competitiveness and the value of commodities priced in dollars.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilNov 12, 2021After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
