USDA data for the week to December 12 showed US soybean oil sales for 2024/25 fell 91% to 6,000 tonnes, and exports dropped 18% to 13,000 tonnes. Palm oil has traded at a premium to soyoil since August, while Argentine soyoil basis premiums have shifted foreign demand toward US exports.
Weak weekly export sales signal soft near-term demand for US soyoil, though the palm premium and Argentine competition are shifting some buying toward US supply.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.