USDA data showed US soybean oil stocks reached 1.61 billion lb at the end of November 2024, up 2.5% from October. Implied domestic demand eased after several months of robust consumption as biofuel buyers started to slow purchases at year-end.
Rising soybean oil stocks and softer biofuel-driven demand are bearish for soybean oil prices and weigh on crush margins that support meal output.
After 146 past bearish report events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.