NOPA reported that member crushers processed about 167 million bushels of soybeans in November 2018, below October's 172.3 million but a record for the month. US soybean oil stocks on November 30 were 1.484 billion pounds, the seventh straight monthly decline and below analyst expectations of 1.504 billion.
Soybean meal exports in November were 901,449 tons, down from October.
Steady crush and falling oil stocks tighten near-term soybean oil supply, which supports oil prices, while meal exports slipping eases pressure on meal supply. Overall the report is a routine monthly data point with modest price impact.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.