
A University of Idaho review says fertilizer prices stabilized in 2024 after steep 2023 declines but stayed above pre-pandemic levels. Potash fell about 20% versus 2023, phosphate MAP and DAP stayed high, and nitrogen prices were lower but began recovering toward year-end.
Persistently high phosphate and a late-year nitrogen rebound raise input costs for feed grain and oilseed production, supporting the price floor for crops into 2025.
After 66 past bullish report events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.7%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 76 past bullish report events, Urea moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.2% to +2.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.