
DTN data shows seven of eight major US retail fertilizers eased slightly in the third week of January, while urea rose to an average of $574/t, 17% above a year earlier. Analysts warn potash could face higher risk if trade tensions escalate, since the US relies heavily on Canadian and some Russian imports.
Urea is still climbing while most other fertilizer prices ease, and potash supply risk from trade disputes could lift potash costs. Higher US input costs affect crop economics and the feed-grain outlook.
After 76 past bullish report events, UREA moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.2% to +2.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.