We can expect a larger wheat harvest in the EU this year

After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Aug 26, 2025Wheat harvest expected to rise in the EU and worldwide - Trademagazin+0.4%
• Sep 11, 2025Record EU soft wheat harvest expected this year - AgCanada+0.0%
• May 25, 2021Indian farmers expect to harvest record wheat, rice crops this year-2.5%
• May 16, 2023Another large wheat crop expected in Canada-2.2%
• Feb 28, 2025Prices face pressure as larger U.S. crops expected this year | The Western Producer-3.6%

After 40 past neutral report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -3.1% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Feb 22, 2018Early Estimates Expect 2018/19 Wheat Production to Fall in the Black Sea - U.S. Wheat Associates+9.1%
• Nov 1, 2017USDA Reports Smallest U.S. Harvested Area in 127 Years+2.4%
• Apr 22, 2019Low wheat prices predicted for the next 10-years-4.8%
• Nov 27, 2017Grain market roundtable: Wheat futures expected to trade sideways | Bakingbusiness.com | November 27, 2017 15:36 | Baking Business+1.4%
• Jul 16, 2026Wheat Wavers After Touching Two-Year High Amid Black Sea Strikes - Bloomberg+6.0%