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Fertilizer analysts say the Israel-Iran strikes pushed North American urea prices up about $50-60 per ton, with international markets rising substantially as wartime premiums are priced in. Even without direct damage to production at that point, the market was reacting to supply risk from the region.
Iran is a major nitrogen and potash trade player, and the region is critical for global fertilizer shipments.
Wartime premiums are lifting nitrogen prices in advance of confirmed supply losses, raising the cost of fertilizer for grain and feed producers. Continued risk to Middle East exports could keep urea and related prices elevated.
agweb.comJun 13, 2025After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
