Euro Heads for Highest in Four Years With $1.20 Level in Sight

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Mar 26, 2023Euro rally puts $1.10 in sight with ECB now last hawk standing - Moneyweb+1.0%
• Mar 10, 2022Best day in 5-years for EUR/USD ahead of the March ECB meeting-0.7%
• Jun 27, 2025Dollar hovers near 3-1/2-year low with market focus on US rate cuts, euro area inflation+0.3%
• Nov 30, 2023US dollar gains but set for worst monthly loss in a year, euro falls-1.6%
• Aug 31, 2021What Does the Higher Eurozone Inflation Have in Store for the EUR/USD?+0.5%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Mar 26, 2023Euro rally puts $1.10 in sight with ECB now last hawk standing - Moneyweb-0.9%
• Nov 28, 2023US dollar skids to 3-1/2-month low, headed for biggest monthly drop in a year+0.2%
• Jun 30, 2025Sterling heads for biggest quarterly jump in more than two years-0.0%
• Mar 10, 2022Best day in 5-years for EUR/USD ahead of the March ECB meeting+0.2%
• Jun 27, 2025Dollar hovers near 3-1/2-year low with market focus on US rate cuts, euro area inflation-0.3%