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EUR/USD posted its best one-day gain in five years, rising nearly three standard deviations after the euro had fallen below 1.0800 to a 22-month low. The rally was linked to signs that Ukraine was open to neutrality, and the DAX gained over 8%.
Attention then turned to the ECB decision and US inflation data.
Central bank guidance on asset purchases and rate timing shapes dollar strength and the cost of dollar-priced commodities. Persistent inflation warnings support firm commodity prices in general.
forex.comMatt SimpsonMar 10, 2022After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes the record EUR/USD one-day rally tied to Ukraine neutrality signals and equity rebound; dated 03-10 and likely covers the same rally, so partly overlaps with the 03-09 move.
