Brazilian biodiesel logistics differentials for September and October rose by roughly Real 300 per cubic metre versus July and August. The increase reflects a higher blending mandate and tight soybean crush margins.
Stronger biodiesel demand in Brazil supports soybean oil use and firms crush economics, which underpins soybean and soymeal supply decisions.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.