
Ukraine's deputy economy minister said the country will not restrict wheat exports in the 2025/26 season, citing a larger harvest and slower export pace. The ministry expects a wheat harvest of around 23 million tons and exports of about 17 million tons.
Absence of export restrictions keeps Ukrainian wheat available on the export market, adding supply pressure that weighs on global wheat prices.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 15 past bearish policy events, KWHEAT moved a median -1.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -3.7% to +3.1%), and +3.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.