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COCERAL's second 2026 forecast puts the EU-27+UK total grain crop at 298.8 million tonnes, below the 310.5 million harvested in 2025. Wheat is seen at 142.6 million tonnes, barley at 59.3 million, and corn recovering to 60.7 million tonnes.
A smaller total grain crop than last year tightens European feed grain supply, though the corn recovery partly offsets the decline and keeps prices supported modestly.
world-grain.comJohn ReidyMar 20, 2026After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 770 past neutral report events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
