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Eight OPEC+ members agreed on April 5 to raise quotas by 206,000 bpd for May. The war has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz since late February, cutting exports from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq.
Crude had surged to near $120 a barrel, a four-year high.
The Hormuz closure is the main price driver, and the quota hike does not offset the lost Gulf exports. Elevated crude and transport fuel prices raise costs across feed logistics and processing.
arabnews.comReutersApr 5, 2026After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
