
Copa Cogeca forecasts EU cereal production at about 264 million tonnes in 2026, down 6.6% from 2025. Wheat is seen down 4.2%, barley 3.5% and maize 13.9%, while oilseeds and protein crops hold up well.
A sizeable EU cereal decline tightens feed grain supplies and supports European and world prices, though oilseeds remain well supplied.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 68 past bullish weather events, Oats moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.