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Chinese soybean crushers face high costs and weak margins ahead of Xi Jinping's US visit. China's pig herd is expected to shrink in the fourth quarter as Beijing cuts inventories and limits hog weights.
Importers have largely completed October purchases and booked 4.8 million tons for November, about 60% of projected demand.
Weak crush margins can slow soybean crushing and reduce meal output, while firm forward bookings support raw bean demand. A shrinking hog herd would lower future feed demand, which tends to weigh on meal prices.
investing.comSep 7, 2026
reuters.comElla Cao, Naveen Thukral, Roberto SamoraSep 7, 2026After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
