
Signal Ocean's weekly monitor highlights a recovery in Russian grain shipments since June, with quarterly volumes reaching the highest level of the year by September. Russia remains a major wheat supplier to Egypt, which buys large volumes through GASC tenders.
Egypt secured substantial Russian wheat supplies in 2023 despite sanctions-related logistics challenges.
Strong Russian export flows add supply to world wheat markets and pressure wheat prices lower, while steady Egyptian demand limits the downside.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 82 past bearish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.