Explainer: What is at stake for the U.S. biofuel blending law in 2022 and beyond

After 196 past neutral policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jun 20, 2017U.S. Biofuels Take Revenue Hit But Get New Target Less Constrained by ‘Blend Wall’-4.0%
• Dec 14, 2017A Look at the 2018 Renewable Fuel Standards - NATSO-0.5%
• Mar 15, 2018News, Notices and Announcements for the Renewable Fuel Standard | US EPA+1.9%
• Jan 30, 2024Renewable biodiesel and soybean prices: What to expect+0.0%
• Feb 5, 2019Biofuels and Big Oil make their case on RFS before 2022 | 2019-02-05 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.4%

After 439 past neutral policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.

• Oct 23, 2023Biofuel demand strengthens the business case for US agribusiness | articles | ING THINK+0.7%
• Sep 16, 2024Farm Aid in the Works: Lawmakers Explore Temporary Fix as Farm Bill Stalls+1.6%
• Jun 20, 2017U.S. Biofuels Take Revenue Hit But Get New Target Less Constrained by ‘Blend Wall’-3.6%
• Feb 9, 2022Behind the Hot Year for Biofuels M&A: 2021 Review and Outlook : The Daily Digest+0.5%
• Dec 14, 2017A Look at the 2018 Renewable Fuel Standards - NATSO+2.3%

After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.

• Feb 3, 2026Grain trader ADM's 2026 profit forecast lags expectations amid US biofuel policy uncertainty | Reuters+4.8%
• Feb 1, 2026EPA expected to send 2026 biofuel blending quotas to White House this week+4.8%
• Sep 16, 2024Farm Aid in the Works: Lawmakers Explore Temporary Fix as Farm Bill Stalls+2.6%
• Oct 15, 2026The European Union Deforestation Regulation’s Uneven Impact: Who is exposed and what are the costs? | International Institute for Sustainable Development-1.4%
• Oct 21, 2025EU eases deforestation law for smallholders but keeps 2025 start | Reuters+3.4%