EPA expected to send 2026 biofuel blending quotas to White House this week

After 554 past neutral policy events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.

• Jan 11, 2022Explainer: What is at stake for the U.S. biofuel blending law in 2022 and beyond | Reuters-1.0%
• Oct 6, 2025Trump bailout for trade-hit US farmers expected this week | Reuters-1.1%
• Jan 30, 2024Renewable biodiesel and soybean prices: What to expect+0.2%
• Feb 27, 2026RVO Crossroads: How EPA’s Biofuel Decision Could Reshape Grain Markets This Spring - AgWeb+1.4%
• Apr 27, 2023Commodity groups to House Ag: Expand ag safety net in 2023 farm bill | National | farmweeknow.com+0.8%

After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Dec 18, 2019White House says it is sticking with 2020 biofuel plan, despite farmer objections+0.2%
• Aug 20, 2021Biden may reduce biofuel quotas, handing a win to oil-state Democrats-2.5%
• Sep 10, 2025US biofuel plan would reallocate half or less of waived blending quotas, sources say | Reuters+2.8%
• Nov 16, 2024U.S. biofuel policies expected to change under Trump-5.4%
• Jul 6, 2023EPA’s Biomass-Based Blending Levels Less Than Expected by Markets - American Soybean Association-0.3%