Trump bailout for trade-hit US farmers expected this week

After 439 past neutral policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.

• Jul 24, 2018US to give farmers $12bn trade war bailout+1.7%
• Jan 1, 2026Trump unveils $12 billion aid package for farmers hit by trade war+0.6%
• Oct 1, 2025Trump says he'll use tariff revenue to bail out farmers+1.4%
• Oct 5, 2025Trump considers massive bailout of at least $10 billion for American farmers hurt by his trade war | CNN Business-0.1%
• Nov 19, 2024Farm Measures Would Limit Trump’s Bailout Money in a Trade War-2.1%

After 554 past neutral policy events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.

• Jan 1, 2026Trump unveils $12 billion aid package for farmers hit by trade war+1.6%
• Oct 1, 2025Trump says he'll use tariff revenue to bail out farmers+2.0%
• Oct 5, 2025Trump considers massive bailout of at least $10 billion for American farmers hurt by his trade war | CNN Business-1.1%
• Nov 19, 2024Farm Measures Would Limit Trump’s Bailout Money in a Trade War-2.4%
• Jul 25, 2019Trump administration reveals details of $16 billion farm bailout in U.S. trade war - The Washington Post-3.0%