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Scott Gerlt of the American Soybean Association said a crop disaster in Argentina cut soybean oil availability and lowered global demand for 2022-23. He expects supply to recover in the next marketing year as USDA projects higher output.
Argentina is a major soybean oil exporter, so a recovery in its output would ease tightness. He expects this to pressure soybean prices lower as supplies return over the next year or two.
fastmarkets.comRobert LaneJun 29, 2023After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 18 past neutral weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +2.6% over 5 sessions (72% higher; middle half -0.4% to +3.5%), and +3.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
