
DTN reports that soybean crush margins reached their highest since last fall, with crushed soybean value exceeding bean cost by $1.99 a bushel as of June 22, 2024. Renewable diesel capacity nearly doubled since mid-2022, but soybean oil use for renewable diesel has fallen as tallow and yellow grease compete.
Strong crush margins encourage processors to run plants harder, which increases soybean meal supply and pressures meal prices while supporting soybean oil.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.