Trump trade policy seen as wild card for US soybean farmers

After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• May 28, 2020Policy priorities of Iowa soybean farmers+0.9%
• Jun 12, 2019Buffeted by trade winds, soybean farmers seek tax credit renewal - Roll Call+4.1%
• Mar 17, 2026Soybean Oil Gains as Trump Plans Farmers, Biofuel Makers Meeting+0.6%
• Aug 1, 2025Trump's America First biodiesel policy could cost US companies, consumers, trade groups warn-1.5%
• Jun 24, 2024Soybean Crush Remains Strong as US Energy Policy Goes Awry+0.4%

After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.

• Jun 12, 2019Buffeted by trade winds, soybean farmers seek tax credit renewal - Roll Call+6.3%
• Aug 1, 2025Trump's America First biodiesel policy could cost US companies, consumers, trade groups warn+1.0%
• Jun 24, 2024Soybean Crush Remains Strong as US Energy Policy Goes Awry-0.9%
• Dec 10, 2025Study: EPA biofuels proposal aids US soybean farmers | World Grain-2.3%
• Nov 12, 2025ASA and NOPA Urge Action on Biofuel Policies Supporting Farmers - American Soybean Association+3.6%