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Soybean farmers are pushing Congress to renew the biodiesel tax credit, which lapsed and has not been restored. Lawmakers and industry backers say biodiesel is a key support for soybean demand amid China's retaliatory tariffs and African swine fever.
A Commerce Department decision on tariffs on Argentine and Indonesian biodiesel imports could also come soon.
Renewal of the credit would support biodiesel margins and soybean oil demand, while removing tariffs on Argentine imports would add competing supply and pressure soybean oil prices.
rollcall.comDoug SwordJun 12, 2019After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
