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Government data cited by Reuters shows North American biofuel output, including feedstocks such as canola and soy oil, grew about 60% since 2022. The sector is now contracting amid trade and policy uncertainty.
A shrinking biofuel sector reduces demand for vegetable oils used as feedstock, which weighs on soybean oil and canola prices.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.