U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard proposal would mean more vegetable oil imports, high costs, and minimal greenhouse gas reductions - International Council on Clean Transportation

After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Oct 5, 2020US refiners accelerate transition to renewable fuels production | Oil & Gas Journal+6.9%
• Jun 16, 2017EPA renewable fuels proposals will be released soon - Biofuels International Magazine-3.6%
• Jul 16, 2025US vegetable oil market: 45Z clean fuel production credit+1.9%
• Jun 13, 2025EPA Proposes New Renewable Fuel Standards to Strengthen U.S. Energy Security, Support Rural America, and Expand Production of Domestic Fuels | US EPA+10.1%
• Sep 21, 2020Analysis: High credit values outweigh cost of production for US renewable distillates | S&P Global-6.8%

After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Jul 16, 2025US vegetable oil market: 45Z clean fuel production credit+1.4%
• Jan 30, 2024A Cap on Vegetable Oil-Based Fuels Will Stabilize and Strengthen California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard - Union of Concerned Scientists-3.0%
• Nov 21, 2019Policy Brief: EU’s Renewable Energy Directive (RED) II and Implications on Palm Oil Trade - CARI ASEAN Research and Advocacy0.0%
• Jul 12, 2017France announces new five-year climate plan that puts end to “imported deforestation” of products like palm oil and soy - Mighty Earth-1.3%
• Jan 16, 2025Clean Fuel Production Credit excludes producers from using used cooking oil  - Indiana Corn and Soy-0.3%