A Cap on Vegetable Oil-Based Fuels Will Stabilize and Strengthen California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard

After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jun 21, 2023EPA Finalizes New Renewable Fuel Standards to Strengthen U.S. Energy Security, Support U.S. Rural Economy, and Expand Production of Low-Carbon Fuels | US EPA-0.5%
• Aug 27, 2024NOPA Calls Proposed Vegetable Oil Cap Unwarranted; Warns of Impact on Fuel Prices, Air Quality, and Consumers - NOPA+2.0%
• Dec 19, 2024California’s Proposed Cap on Crop-Based Biofuels and What it Means for Fuel Prices and Biofuel Producers - Giannini Foundation of Agricultural Economics-0.1%
• Mar 15, 2024Cabinet of Ministers lifts restrictions on export of sunflower and vegetable oil — Kun.uz+2.4%
• Oct 4, 2017Renewable Fuel Standard Program: Standards for 2018 and Biomass-Based Diesel Volume for 2019; Availability of Supplemental Information and Request for Further Comment | 82 FR 46174+1.1%

After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Dec 16, 2025U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard proposal would mean more vegetable oil imports, high costs, and minimal greenhouse gas reductions - International Council on Clean Transportation-0.4%
• Apr 26, 2018Winners and losers from the proposed ban on palm oil - Renewable Carbon News-3.5%
• Jul 16, 2025US vegetable oil market: 45Z clean fuel production credit+1.4%
• Feb 25, 2025Sunseed prices continue to rise in Ukraine, but vegetable oil markets have seen a drop in prices-2.7%
• Jan 17, 2018EU Parliament ends palm oil and caps crop-based biofuels at 2017 levels-0.4%