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Kiel Institute professor Gernot Klepper analyses the effects of the European Parliament's proposed ban on palm oil for EU biofuels by 2020, noting European biodiesel uses about four percent of global palm oil. The analysis asks whether the ban would reduce deforestation and improve biofuel climate performance.
A ban on palm oil in EU biodiesel would reduce demand for palm oil in one market segment, which is mildly bearish for palm oil prices if enacted.
renewable-carbon.euApr 26, 2018After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
