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The EPA proposed Renewable Fuel Standard volume requirements for 2026 and 2027, described as the highest ever Renewable Volume Obligation. The proposal is framed as supporting U.S. farmers and biofuel production while easing pump prices.
Higher mandated biofuel volumes raise demand for soybean oil and corn used in ethanol, supporting feedstock prices. The policy shift is bullish for vegetable oil and corn.
epa.govUS EPA,OAJun 13, 2025After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
