
EPA finalized the Renewable Fuel Standard 'Set 2' rule setting 2026 and 2027 renewable fuel volume requirements at the highest levels in program history. The announcement was made by President Trump at the White House Great American Agriculture Celebration.
Higher biomass-based diesel and advanced biofuel mandates raise demand for soybean oil and other feedstocks, supporting soyoil and crush margins and likely firming soybean prices.
After 841 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 317 past bullish policy events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.