
Signal Ocean's weekly monitor shows Brazil continues to ship more soybeans and corn to China than the U.S., but both suppliers slowed sharply in summer 2024. China's grain reserves are swelling and key import demand is falling.
Brazil is also facing a drought in parts of the country.
Falling Chinese import demand and swelling reserves weigh on soybean and corn export prices. Brazilian drought risk partly offsets the demand weakness and could tighten supply.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.