New figures shine a light on changing grain flows to China

After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.

• May 2, 2025The Farmer's Exchange Online China Says It Doesn't Need U.S. Grain-3.8%
• May 1, 2024How much grain is Ukraine exporting and how is it leaving the country?+2.6%
• Jun 16, 2018Trump's tariffs: What they are and how China is responding | AP News-0.9%
• Oct 29, 2026Growing corn supplies put pressure on prices in Ukraine and the EU-1.5%
• Jan 10, 2025Barley prices and China's changing grain demand | Stock Journal | SA+3.2%

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• May 2, 2025The Farmer's Exchange Online China Says It Doesn't Need U.S. Grain-0.3%
• Jun 16, 2018Trump's tariffs: What they are and how China is responding | AP News-1.2%
• Mar 22, 2019U.S. grains: Corn up on China buying, flood worries - Grainews-2.3%
• Sep 19, 2018Factbox: China's low-soy pig diet and the impact on soybean use+3.9%
• Sep 22, 2025US feedstock trading slows, values to fall on Argentina grain tax cut: sources-1.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.