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Merchant ships are stranded in the Black Sea after Russia blockaded the region and Ukraine laid mines around its ports, halting imports and exports of key commodities. Ukraine is unable to export wheat and other grains to Middle East and North African buyers, and a cargo ship was reportedly hit by a missile.
The blockade cuts a major wheat supply route to importing regions, supporting wheat prices and freight costs while shipping risk persists.
news.usni.orgHeather MongilioMay 1, 2022After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
