More grain ships leave Ukraine ports despite Russian suspension

After 38 past neutral geopolitics events, WHEAT moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Nov 26, 2018Ukraine's Azov Sea ports operating normally despite tensions with Russia+0.6%
• Nov 30, 2018Grain exports not impacted by Russia, Ukraine tension | 2018-11-30 | World Grain+2.7%
• Apr 29, 2025Ukraine arrests Russian "shadow fleet" ship+2.1%
• Jun 22, 2024How Russia Exports Ukrainian Grain As Its Own: An Investigation-6.8%
• Nov 29, 2018Russia Does Not Expect Ukraine Crisis to Have Big Impact on Grain Exports - Business Insider+1.4%

After 31 past neutral geopolitics events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Jun 22, 2024How Russia Exports Ukrainian Grain As Its Own: An Investigation-7.2%
• Mar 25, 2025Russia, Ukraine agree to avoid attacks on grain ships, energy infrastructure on Black Sea-1.5%
• Apr 5, 2022Supply shock caused by Russian invasion of Ukraine puts strain on various EU agri-food sectors-2.1%
• Dec 24, 2025Ukraine’s grain export landscape — Breakwave Advisors-1.0%
• Mar 13, 2023Patchwork fixes to Ukraine grain shortfall leave world vulnerable a year into war+0.8%