
The February 2022 WASDE showed few changes to US corn and soybean balance sheets, with US corn ending stocks unchanged at 1.540 billion bushels. USDA cut the Brazilian corn crop by only 1 million tonnes to 114 million tonnes, less than traders expected.
Grain futures rose to new contract highs after the report.
A smaller-than-expected South American cut signals ongoing tightness, and the market rallied on South American weather concerns and the Ukraine conflict, supporting corn, soybean and meal prices.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.