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The January USDA report raised 2017 US corn production to 14.6 billion bushels with yield at 176.6 bpa and 2017/18 corn ending stocks to 2.48 billion bushels. Soybean production came in at 4.39 billion bushels, below trade expectations, and 2017/18 soybean ending stocks were raised to 470 million bushels.
Higher corn carryout reinforces bearish corn pricing, while a below-expectation soybean crop is mildly supportive for soybean prices despite higher ending stocks.
gfo.caStory by: Grain Farmers of OntarioJan 15, 2018After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
